Those who say oversupply was the major reason behind Dubai real
estate crash, are wrong. The global crises slashed the profit
margins of various companies which led them to shrink their
employees. The laid off expatriates working in Dubai left the
rental properties vacant while those among them who owned the
properties, sold them as distressed properties. This distressed
selling accompanied with the higher vacancy rates brought down
Dubai property prices by more than 60%.
The recovery is expected to gain momentum in 2012 due to the
expected growth of Dubai economy by 4.5% to 5%. However, in order
to bring stability in the sector, limited supply is being added in
stages and mainly in the prime areas of Dubai. The supply of new
offices has been slowed down in the Q1 of 2012, since vacancy rates
of offices are already high in Dubai.
The residential sector is outperforming its commercial sector.
Villa market has been stabilized to a significant extent while
apartments’ market is still struggling hard to cope up with the
oversupply issue. Rentals as well as sales prices are inching up in
all the prime locations where quality of life is high while
secondary locations like Discovery Gardens and International City are still suffering from
declines.
City wide rents of retail properties have remained stable
during Q1 and stood at AED1.885 per sq m. The retail market is
becoming two-tier, since the malls like The Mall of Emirate, and
Dubai Mall are seeing increase in rents due to high sales made by
the tourists while the older and the less popular malls are still
facing rental declines.
The hotel sector of Dubai has been performing well since the
final quarter of 2011. The results of Q1 of 2012 shows the recovery
is gathering pace because occupancy levels have increased to 86%
due to high influx of tourists. These occupancy levels are at the
same levels which were recorded during 2007 and 2008. This means
this sector has almost roared back to its original position.
Dubai Marina is currently the best performing
development in Dubai with respect to high occupancy levels and
increase in rents. It is the most sought after destination by the
tenants and investors alike due to higher ROI and better quality of
life. The rents in Dubai Marina have inched up by 10.4% during the
Q1 of the following year.
Mortgage market in Dubai is continuing to facilitate investors
and uplift the demand of Dubai property market. Multiple mortgage
products with flexible terms and conditions like lower mortgages
rates are being offered in the market. On the other hand, landlords
are also offering incentives to the tenants like no security fees,
no advance periods, rent-free periods and monthly or two months
payments.
The earnings and share prices of the developers in Dubai shows
that the worst has been over but still nobody can assume small
spurts of growth as full fledge recovery. It is expected that
market is very near to hit the bottom level and it would take some
time more before selective stabilization takes the shape of full
fledge recovery.
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